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Price forecast · data of 14 Nov 2026

Tomato price forecast for the next 12 weeks

40 wholesale tomato price series from 20 markets in Poland and Japan have a forecast. The median series points to a fall over the coming weeks (−15.4% by the end of the forecast), against a typical 12-week error of 18%. Below: when tomato is usually cheapest and dearest in 4 countries.

Tomato prices todayMethod

Tomato forecasts: 4 markets with the longest test record

Weekly average priceMost likely path80% range: 8 in 10 past forecasts ended inside a range this wide

Raspberry tomatoes

🇵🇱 Targpiast, Wrocław, Poland

5.0010.015.020.0Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26Sep 26Nov 26Jan 27Forecast
Latest weekly average
5.50 PLN/kg week of 9 Nov 2026
Week of 7 Dec 2026 +4 weeks
4.40–8.16 most likely 6.27 · +14.0%
Week of 1 Feb 2027 +12 weeks
4.15–14.4 most likely 7.43 · +35.1%
Typical error in tests
15.4% at 4 weeks, 44.1% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 26.3% and 97.4%)

Cherry tomatoes

🇯🇵 Fukuoka City Central Wholesale Market, Produce Market (Vegefru Stadium), Japan

5001,000Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26Sep 26Nov 26Jan 27Forecast
Latest weekly average
636 JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks
501–870 most likely 712 · +12.0%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks
315–800 most likely 537 · −15.5%
Typical error in tests
16.0% at 4 weeks, 23.5% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 24.2% and 48.4%)

Cherry tomatoes

🇯🇵 Hiroshima City Central Wholesale Market, Japan

5001,000Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26Sep 26Nov 26Jan 27Forecast
Latest weekly average
692 JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks
590–972 most likely 779 · +12.5%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks
365–877 most likely 576 · −16.8%
Typical error in tests
9.0% at 4 weeks, 27.1% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 10.8% and 42.6%)

Cherry tomatoes

🇯🇵 Kanazawa City Central Wholesale Market, Japan

5001,0001,500Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26Sep 26Nov 26Jan 27Forecast
Latest weekly average
843 JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks
752–1,170 most likely 969 · +14.9%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks
514–931 most likely 735 · −12.8%
Typical error in tests
13.4% at 4 weeks, 19.1% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 15.9% and 27.1%)

All tomato forecasts

Prices in each market’s currency and unit. Range: 80%. Typical error: median error at 12 weeks in the test on the series’ own history.

Tomato price forecasts by market, data of 14 Nov 2026
Quote and marketLatest weekIn 4 weeksIn 12 weeksChangeTypical error
Raspberry tomatoes
🇵🇱 Targpiast, Wrocław
5.50 PLN/kg4.40–8.164.15–14.4+35.1%±44%
Tomatoes
🇵🇱 Targpiast, Wrocław
5.00 PLN/kg3.67–6.952.94–10.6+15.5%±32%
Cherry tomatoes
🇯🇵 Fukuoka City Central Wholesale Market, Produce Market (Vegefru Stadium)
636 JPY/kg501–870315–800−15.5%±24%
Tomatoes
🇯🇵 Fukuoka City Central Wholesale Market, Produce Market (Vegefru Stadium)
416 JPY/kg375–566251–462−13.7%±21%
Cherry tomatoes
🇯🇵 Hiroshima City Central Wholesale Market
692 JPY/kg590–972365–877−16.8%±27%
Tomatoes
🇯🇵 Hiroshima City Central Wholesale Market
455 JPY/kg378–658256–544−14.1%±15%
Cherry tomatoes
🇯🇵 Kanazawa City Central Wholesale Market
843 JPY/kg752–1,170514–931−12.8%±19%
Tomatoes
🇯🇵 Kanazawa City Central Wholesale Market
520 JPY/kg451–699339–563−10.5%±12%
Cherry tomatoes
🇯🇵 Kitakyushu City Central Wholesale Market
638 JPY/kg539–965310–849−9.6%±29%
Tomatoes
🇯🇵 Kitakyushu City Central Wholesale Market
425 JPY/kg415–601255–523−10.1%±17%
Cherry tomatoes
🇯🇵 Kobe City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
759 JPY/kg640–1,138400–974−14.5%±24%
Tomatoes
🇯🇵 Kobe City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
547 JPY/kg488–728315–538−19.3%±13%
Cherry tomatoes
🇯🇵 Kyoto City Central Wholesale Market
701 JPY/kg626–959376–765−16.3%±21%
Tomatoes
🇯🇵 Kyoto City Central Wholesale Market
528 JPY/kg442–648308–539−18.4%±16%
Cherry tomatoes
🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
714 JPY/kg679–1,004391–800−15.7%±18%
Tomatoes
🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
505 JPY/kg414–776270–577−15.9%±15%
Cherry tomatoes
🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Northern Market)
757 JPY/kg692–1,110427–922−10.7%±22%
Tomatoes
🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Northern Market)
574 JPY/kg486–807308–632−19.2%±18%
Cherry tomatoes
🇯🇵 Okinawa Prefectural Central Wholesale Market
766 JPY/kg774–1,442387–1,078−6.2%±31%
Tomatoes
🇯🇵 Okinawa Prefectural Central Wholesale Market
659 JPY/kg528–1,005287–854−22.7%±28%
Cherry tomatoes
🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Eastern Market)
723 JPY/kg604–939397–802−18.6%±15%
Tomatoes
🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Eastern Market)
496 JPY/kg454–665303–530−15.8%±12%
Cherry tomatoes
🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
730 JPY/kg637–1,033423–832−16.0%±19%
Tomatoes
🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
543 JPY/kg452–731292–583−15.2%±16%
Cherry tomatoes
🇯🇵 Ota Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
789 JPY/kg732–1,103430–883−15.2%±19%
Tomatoes
🇯🇵 Ota Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
581 JPY/kg518–776340–613−18.0%±16%
Cherry tomatoes
🇯🇵 Sapporo City Central Wholesale Market
550 JPY/kg614–883391–734+1.5%±22%
Tomatoes
🇯🇵 Sapporo City Central Wholesale Market
432 JPY/kg366–501326–563+5.8%±10%
Cherry tomatoes
🇯🇵 Sendai City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
681 JPY/kg579–934354–784−16.4%±16%
Tomatoes
🇯🇵 Sendai City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
501 JPY/kg431–611265–497−19.6%±12%
Cherry tomatoes
🇯🇵 Takamatsu City Central Wholesale Market
979 JPY/kg845–1,196573–1,268−12.2%±22%
Tomatoes
🇯🇵 Takamatsu City Central Wholesale Market
621 JPY/kg519–846342–684−16.7%±18%
Cherry tomatoes
🇯🇵 Toshima Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
849 JPY/kg754–1,206504–1,078−10.8%±27%
Tomatoes
🇯🇵 Toshima Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
521 JPY/kg436–724276–605−16.2%±18%
Cherry tomatoes
🇯🇵 Toyosu Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
779 JPY/kg681–1,070409–908−15.8%±18%
Tomatoes
🇯🇵 Toyosu Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
558 JPY/kg499–738324–572−16.7%±12%
Cherry tomatoes
🇯🇵 Yodobashi Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
800 JPY/kg732–1,162477–896−13.0%±15%
Tomatoes
🇯🇵 Yodobashi Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
518 JPY/kg468–691326–567−12.7%±12%
Cherry tomatoes
🇯🇵 Yokohama City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
749 JPY/kg672–1,070401–820−15.4%±18%
Tomatoes
🇯🇵 Yokohama City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
505 JPY/kg428–673290–536−15.3%±11%

Tomato: monthly forecasts for the next 3 months

Series quoted once a month: farm-gate, retail, benchmark and some wholesale prices, each in its own currency and unit. Same method on monthly averages: half of the usual seasonal change, tested on the last 24 months of each series. Range: 80%. Typical error: at 3 months.

Monthly average priceMost likely path80% range

Tomato

Farm-gate price 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Bicol Region, Philippines

100200Oct 24Dec 24Feb 25Apr 25Jun 25Aug 25Oct 25Dec 25Feb 26Apr 26Jun 26Aug 26Oct 26Forecast
Latest monthly average
62.8 PHP/kg Sep 2026
Oct 2026 +1 month
42.0–103 most likely 69.8 · +11.3%
Dec 2026 +3 months
33.2–126 most likely 66.7 · +6.2%
Typical error in tests
29.3% at 1 month, 30.9% at 3 months (“no change”: 35.2% and 72.7%)

Tomato

Farm-gate price 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Calabarzon, Philippines

50.0100150Oct 24Dec 24Feb 25Apr 25Jun 25Aug 25Oct 25Dec 25Feb 26Apr 26Jun 26Aug 26Oct 26Forecast
Latest monthly average
60.9 PHP/kg Sep 2026
Oct 2026 +1 month
34.3–109 most likely 63.4 · +4.1%
Dec 2026 +3 months
21.4–172 most likely 70.2 · +15.2%
Typical error in tests
47.4% at 1 month, 76.0% at 3 months (“no change”: 32.8% and 119.5%)
Tomato monthly price forecasts
Quote and sourcePrice levelLatest monthNext monthIn 3 monthsChangeTypical error
Tomato
🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Bicol Region
Farm-gate price62.8 PHP/kg
Sep 2026
42.0–10333.2–126+6.2%±31%
Tomato
🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Calabarzon
Farm-gate price60.9 PHP/kg
Sep 2026
34.3–10921.4–172+15.2%±76%
Tomato
🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Mimaropa
Farm-gate price61.4 PHP/kg
Sep 2026
36.8–95.038.3–108+7.7%±23%
Tomato
🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Western Visayas
Farm-gate price45.3 PHP/kg
Sep 2026
33.5–69.121.4–74.9−10.5%±40%
Tomatoes
🇺🇿 Dehkan markets, Tashkent
Retail price11,124 UZS/kg
Sep 2026
10,142–16,20311,155–30,822+66.1%±46%
Tomatoes
🇺🇿 Dehkan markets, Uzbekistan (average)
Retail price7,986 UZS/kg
Sep 2026
7,421–12,6427,517–32,385+100.0%±48%
Tomatoes
🇫🇮 Luke producer prices, Finland
Farm-gate price3.28 EUR/kg
Sep 2026
1.84–4.211.54–6.18−1.1%±45%

When is tomato cheapest? Seasonal price calendar

Usual wholesale price in each month against the yearly average, by country.

Tomato wholesale prices by month, percent above or below the yearly average
CountryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecCheapestDearest
🇯🇵 Japan38 series · 19 markets · 2024–2026−7−12−9−15−22−25−12+8+46+41+53+27JuneNovember
🇺🇾 Uruguay27 series · 2 markets · 2017–2025−37−28+1+7+5−4+9+14+62+40−20−28JanuarySeptember
🇬🇹 Guatemala4 series · 2 markets · 2016–2025+3−19−20−12−3+2+7+20−4+3+8+24MarchDecember
🇵🇱 Poland2 series · 1 market · 2018–2026+66+78+79+64−14−35−40−41−37−14+2+38AugustMarch

cheaper than the yearly average · dearer · figures in % · no quotes in that month (season or data gap). Monthly averages of each series against its yearly average, after removing the long-term trend such as inflation; median across series and markets of the country, years with at least 10 months of quotes.

A statistical forecast, not advice

The forecasts extend each series’ own seasonal pattern; they do not know about this year’s weather, harvests, policy or currency moves. Use the range, not only the central figure, and do not base trading, purchasing or credit decisions on them alone.

Questions and answers

Will tomato prices go up or down in the coming weeks?

Of 40 tomato price series with a forecast, 4 point higher and 36 lower or flat by the end of the forecast; the median series points to a fall (−15.4%). The forecasts repeat what the season usually does and are recalculated daily (data of 14 Nov 2026).

When is tomato cheapest?

In Japan, wholesale tomato prices are usually lowest in June (−25.3% against the yearly average) and highest in November (+52.7%), based on 38 price series from 19 markets, 2024–2026. The calendar on this page shows 3 more countries.

How accurate is the tomato price forecast?

In tests on the last 52 weeks of each series, the typical 12-week error of the published tomato forecasts was 18%. Each series passed the test only because its errors were smaller than those of a “no change” forecast. Results of the archived forecasts are on the accuracy page.

Where do the tomato prices come from?

From the wholesale markets and price services listed on each series, as published, in their own currencies and units. Husfarm does not adjust them except to compute weekly and monthly averages.

Husfarm Tomato Index · Tomato prices today · All price forecasts · Accuracy

Calculated from Husfarm price data; changes with every update. Data licensed under CC BY 4.0.