10 rice price series quoted once a month in Philippines, Thailand, mostly prices paid to farmers, have a forecast. The median series points to a rise over the coming months (+9.7% by the end of the forecast), against a typical 3-month error of 11%.
Series quoted once a month: farm-gate, retail, benchmark and some wholesale prices, each in its own currency and unit. Same method on monthly averages: half of the usual seasonal change, tested on the last 24 months of each series. Range: 80%. Typical error: at 3 months.
Farm-gate price 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Bicol Region, Philippines
Farm-gate price 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Caraga, Philippines
| Quote and source | Price level | Latest month | Next month | In 3 months | Change | Typical error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palay (paddy) other varieties, dry, 14% moisture 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Bicol Region | Farm-gate price | 20.9 PHP/kg Oct 2026 | 18.7–22.6 | 19.4–27.3 | +8.7% | ±10% |
| Palay (paddy) other varieties, dry, 14% moisture 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Caraga | Farm-gate price | 20.3 PHP/kg Oct 2026 | 17.9–22.0 | 16.8–25.6 | +5.8% | ±10% |
| Palay (paddy) other varieties, dry, 14% moisture 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Central Luzon | Farm-gate price | 21.8 PHP/kg Oct 2026 | 20.9–26.1 | 20.1–33.9 | +16.0% | ±21% |
| Palay (paddy) other varieties, dry, 14% moisture 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Eastern Visayas | Farm-gate price | 21.0 PHP/kg Oct 2026 | 19.7–24.5 | 18.7–27.0 | +7.6% | ±9% |
| Palay (paddy) fancy, dry, 14% moisture 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Mimaropa | Farm-gate price | 22.9 PHP/kg Oct 2026 | 21.2–25.9 | 21.8–33.4 | +12.5% | ±13% |
| Palay (paddy) other varieties, dry, 14% moisture 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Mimaropa | Farm-gate price | 20.0 PHP/kg Oct 2026 | 18.5–21.7 | 17.6–27.1 | +10.6% | ±9% |
| Palay (paddy) fancy, dry, 14% moisture 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Philippines | Farm-gate price | 23.0 PHP/kg Oct 2026 | 21.0–26.8 | 21.8–32.9 | +13.7% | ±13% |
| Rice, Thai white 25% broken, FOB Bangkok 🇹🇭 World Bank benchmark prices, Thailand | World benchmark | 472 USD/ton Oct 2026 | 448–509 | 432–553 | +4.9% | ±10% |
| Rice, Thai white 5% broken, FOB Bangkok 🇹🇭 World Bank benchmark prices, Thailand | World benchmark | 489 USD/ton Oct 2026 | 462–527 | 447–581 | +5.8% | ±11% |
| Palay (paddy) fancy, dry, 14% moisture 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Central Luzon | Farm-gate price | 23.1 PHP/kg Oct 2026 | 20.1–28.8 | 19.7–36.1 | +14.9% | ±21% |
Usual wholesale price in each month against the yearly average, by country.
| Country | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Cheapest | Dearest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇬🇹 Guatemala1 series · 1 market · 2016–2025 | −3 | −2 | −2 | −1 | 0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0 | +2 | +1 | January | November |
cheaper than the yearly average · dearer · figures in % · no quotes in that month (season or data gap). Monthly averages of each series against its yearly average, after removing the long-term trend such as inflation; median across series and markets of the country, years with at least 10 months of quotes.
The forecasts extend each series’ own seasonal pattern; they do not know about this year’s weather, harvests, policy or currency moves. Use the range, not only the central figure, and do not base trading, purchasing or credit decisions on them alone.
In Guatemala, wholesale rice prices are usually lowest in January (−2.5% against the yearly average) and highest in November (+1.8%), based on 1 price series from 1 market, 2016–2025.
From the wholesale markets and price services listed on each series, as published, in their own currencies and units. Husfarm does not adjust them except to compute weekly and monthly averages.
Husfarm Rice Index · Rice prices today · All price forecasts · Accuracy
Calculated from Husfarm price data; changes with every update. Data licensed under CC BY 4.0.
