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Price forecast · data of 13 Nov 2026

Olive Oil price forecast for the next 12 weeks

3 wholesale olive oil price series from 1 market in Croatia have a forecast. The median series points to little change over the coming weeks (−2.6% by the end of the forecast), against a typical 12-week error of 15%. Below: when olive oil is usually cheapest and dearest in 1 country.

Olive Oil prices todayMethod

Olive Oil forecasts: 1 markets with the longest test record

Weekly average priceMost likely path80% range: 8 in 10 past forecasts ended inside a range this wide

Extra virgin olive oil, 0.25 l bottles

🇭🇷 TISUP wholesale prices, Croatia, Croatia

20.030.040.0Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26Sep 26Nov 26Jan 27Forecast
Latest weekly average
23.3 EUR/liter week of 2 Nov 2026
Week of 30 Nov 2026 +4 weeks
14.7–25.0 most likely 20.0 · −14.0%
Week of 25 Jan 2027 +12 weeks
13.6–27.2 most likely 19.6 · −15.6%
Typical error in tests
11.6% at 4 weeks, 15.3% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 11.3% and 25.9%)

All olive oil forecasts

Prices in each market’s currency and unit. Range: 80%. Typical error: median error at 12 weeks in the test on the series’ own history.

Olive Oil price forecasts by market, data of 13 Nov 2026
Quote and marketLatest weekIn 4 weeksIn 12 weeksChangeTypical error
Extra virgin olive oil, 0.25 l bottles
🇭🇷 TISUP wholesale prices, Croatia
23.3 EUR/liter14.7–25.013.6–27.2−15.6%±15%
Extra virgin olive oil, 0.5 l bottles
🇭🇷 TISUP wholesale prices, Croatia
28.3 EUR/liter18.2–34.220.1–40.3−2.0%±19%
Extra virgin olive oil, 0.75 l bottles
🇭🇷 TISUP wholesale prices, Croatia
14.5 EUR/liter12.3–19.010.8–18.9−2.6%±13%

When is olive oil cheapest? Seasonal price calendar

Usual wholesale price in each month against the yearly average, by country.

Olive Oil wholesale prices by month, percent above or below the yearly average
CountryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecCheapestDearest
🇭🇷 Croatia5 series · 1 market · 2023–2026−9−11−9+0+3+4+7+13+8+4−4−2FebruaryAugust

cheaper than the yearly average · dearer · figures in % · no quotes in that month (season or data gap). Monthly averages of each series against its yearly average, after removing the long-term trend such as inflation; median across series and markets of the country, years with at least 10 months of quotes.

A statistical forecast, not advice

The forecasts extend each series’ own seasonal pattern; they do not know about this year’s weather, harvests, policy or currency moves. Use the range, not only the central figure, and do not base trading, purchasing or credit decisions on them alone.

Questions and answers

Will olive oil prices go up or down in the coming weeks?

Of 3 olive oil price series with a forecast, 0 point higher and 3 lower or flat by the end of the forecast; the median series points to little change (−2.6%). The forecasts repeat what the season usually does and are recalculated daily (data of 13 Nov 2026).

When is olive oil cheapest?

In Croatia, wholesale olive oil prices are usually lowest in February (−11.4% against the yearly average) and highest in August (+12.8%), based on 5 price series from 1 market, 2023–2026.

How accurate is the olive oil price forecast?

In tests on the last 52 weeks of each series, the typical 12-week error of the published olive oil forecasts was 15%. Each series passed the test only because its errors were smaller than those of a “no change” forecast. Results of the archived forecasts are on the accuracy page.

Where do the olive oil prices come from?

From the wholesale markets and price services listed on each series, as published, in their own currencies and units. Husfarm does not adjust them except to compute weekly and monthly averages.

Olive Oil prices today · All price forecasts · Accuracy

Calculated from Husfarm price data; changes with every update. Data licensed under CC BY 4.0.