5 wholesale lemon price series from 5 markets in Japan have a forecast. The median series points to a rise over the coming weeks (+20.3% by the end of the forecast), against a typical 12-week error of 7%. Below: when lemon is usually cheapest and dearest in 3 countries.
🇯🇵 Hiroshima City Central Wholesale Market, Japan
🇯🇵 Kobe City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market), Japan
🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Northern Market), Japan
🇯🇵 Sapporo City Central Wholesale Market, Japan
Prices in each market’s currency and unit. Range: 80%. Typical error: median error at 12 weeks in the test on the series’ own history.
| Quote and market | Latest week | In 4 weeks | In 12 weeks | Change | Typical error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lemons, imported 🇯🇵 Hiroshima City Central Wholesale Market | 487 JPY/kg | 428–617 | 456–666 | +12.5% | ±6% |
| Lemons, imported 🇯🇵 Kobe City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market) | 373 JPY/kg | 303–438 | 343–637 | +27.2% | ±13% |
| Lemons, imported 🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Northern Market) | 495 JPY/kg | 424–553 | 486–654 | +11.5% | ±7% |
| Lemons, imported 🇯🇵 Sapporo City Central Wholesale Market | 510 JPY/kg | 500–612 | 561–751 | +24.4% | ±5% |
| Lemons, imported 🇯🇵 Yokohama City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market) | 352 JPY/kg | 297–401 | 347–557 | +20.3% | ±9% |
Series quoted once a month: farm-gate, retail, benchmark and some wholesale prices, each in its own currency and unit. Same method on monthly averages: half of the usual seasonal change, tested on the last 24 months of each series. Range: 80%. Typical error: at 3 months.
Retail price 🇺🇿 Dehkan markets, Tashkent, Uzbekistan
Retail price 🇺🇿 Dehkan markets, Uzbekistan (average), Uzbekistan
| Quote and source | Price level | Latest month | Next month | In 3 months | Change | Typical error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lemons 🇺🇿 Dehkan markets, Tashkent | Retail price | 47,642 UZS/kg Sep 2026 | 38,433–49,760 | 29,790–56,247 | −16.2% | ±14% |
| Lemons 🇺🇿 Dehkan markets, Uzbekistan (average) | Retail price | 45,829 UZS/kg Sep 2026 | 40,549–51,824 | 33,155–57,370 | −13.4% | ±14% |
Usual wholesale price in each month against the yearly average, by country.
| Country | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Cheapest | Dearest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇯🇵 Japan18 series · 18 markets · 2024–2026 | +8 | +10 | +5 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +2 | −0 | −6 | −6 | −13 | −9 | November | February |
| 🇺🇾 Uruguay8 series · 2 markets · 2017–2025 | +89 | +107 | +139 | +51 | +5 | −26 | −43 | −42 | −44 | −34 | −6 | +24 | September | March |
| 🇵🇱 Poland1 series · 1 market · 2018–2026 | −7 | −6 | −7 | −4 | +12 | +10 | +10 | +0 | −6 | −8 | −8 | −5 | November | May |
cheaper than the yearly average · dearer · figures in % · no quotes in that month (season or data gap). Monthly averages of each series against its yearly average, after removing the long-term trend such as inflation; median across series and markets of the country, years with at least 10 months of quotes.
The forecasts extend each series’ own seasonal pattern; they do not know about this year’s weather, harvests, policy or currency moves. Use the range, not only the central figure, and do not base trading, purchasing or credit decisions on them alone.
Of 5 lemon price series with a forecast, 5 point higher and 0 lower or flat by the end of the forecast; the median series points to a rise (+20.3%). The forecasts repeat what the season usually does and are recalculated daily (data of 14 Nov 2026).
In Japan, wholesale lemon prices are usually lowest in November (−12.9% against the yearly average) and highest in February (+9.7%), based on 18 price series from 18 markets, 2024–2026. The calendar on this page shows 2 more countries.
In tests on the last 52 weeks of each series, the typical 12-week error of the published lemon forecasts was 7%. Each series passed the test only because its errors were smaller than those of a “no change” forecast. Results of the archived forecasts are on the accuracy page.
From the wholesale markets and price services listed on each series, as published, in their own currencies and units. Husfarm does not adjust them except to compute weekly and monthly averages.
Husfarm Lemon Index · Lemon prices today · All price forecasts · Accuracy
Calculated from Husfarm price data; changes with every update. Data licensed under CC BY 4.0.
