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Price forecast · data of 13 Nov 2026

Garlic price forecast for the next 12 weeks

16 wholesale garlic price series from 13 markets in Japan have a forecast. The median series points to little change over the coming weeks (−3.0% by the end of the forecast), against a typical 12-week error of 12%. Below: when garlic is usually cheapest and dearest in 3 countries.

Garlic prices todayMethod

Garlic forecasts: 4 markets with the longest test record

Weekly average priceMost likely path80% range: 8 in 10 past forecasts ended inside a range this wide

Garlic

🇯🇵 Fukuoka City Central Wholesale Market, Produce Market (Vegefru Stadium), Japan

5007501,0001,250Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26Sep 26Nov 26Jan 27Forecast
Latest weekly average
797 JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks
568–1,126 most likely 785 · −1.5%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks
576–1,222 most likely 852 · +6.9%
Typical error in tests
15.3% at 4 weeks, 24.2% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 12.1% and 23.7%)

Garlic

🇯🇵 Kanazawa City Central Wholesale Market, Japan

5007501,000Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26Sep 26Nov 26Jan 27Forecast
Latest weekly average
679 JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks
452–911 most likely 663 · −2.4%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks
498–1,010 most likely 731 · +7.7%
Typical error in tests
8.7% at 4 weeks, 9.9% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 9.3% and 12.1%)

Garlic

🇯🇵 Kitakyushu City Central Wholesale Market, Japan

5007501,000Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26Sep 26Nov 26Jan 27Forecast
Latest weekly average
738 JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks
473–818 most likely 650 · −11.9%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks
442–845 most likely 662 · −10.3%
Typical error in tests
7.5% at 4 weeks, 18.2% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 14.6% and 20.7%)

Garlic

🇯🇵 Kobe City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market), Japan

400600Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26Sep 26Nov 26Jan 27Forecast
Latest weekly average
610 JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks
437–693 most likely 571 · −6.4%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks
418–683 most likely 546 · −10.5%
Typical error in tests
10.7% at 4 weeks, 12.2% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 12.7% and 9.9%)

All garlic forecasts

Prices in each market’s currency and unit. Range: 80%. Typical error: median error at 12 weeks in the test on the series’ own history.

Garlic price forecasts by market, data of 13 Nov 2026
Quote and marketLatest weekIn 4 weeksIn 12 weeksChangeTypical error
Garlic
🇯🇵 Fukuoka City Central Wholesale Market, Produce Market (Vegefru Stadium)
797 JPY/kg568–1,126576–1,222+6.9%±24%
Garlic
🇯🇵 Kanazawa City Central Wholesale Market
679 JPY/kg452–911498–1,010+7.7%±10%
Garlic
🇯🇵 Kitakyushu City Central Wholesale Market
738 JPY/kg473–818442–845−10.3%±18%
Garlic
🇯🇵 Kobe City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
610 JPY/kg437–693418–683−10.5%±12%
Garlic
🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
1,012 JPY/kg669–1,266625–1,364−12.2%±12%
Garlic
🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Northern Market)
1,195 JPY/kg1,002–1,485944–1,556+6.1%±9%
Garlic, imported
🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Northern Market)
552 JPY/kg532–590536–618+2.7%±3%
Garlic
🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Eastern Market)
764 JPY/kg491–791523–937−5.9%±13%
Garlic
🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
2,055 JPY/kg1,697–2,2101,647–2,329−4.1%±10%
Garlic, imported
🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
525 JPY/kg470–607479–629+3.3%±3%
Garlic
🇯🇵 Ota Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
1,939 JPY/kg1,584–2,0291,509–2,268−4.5%±6%
Garlic
🇯🇵 Sapporo City Central Wholesale Market
914 JPY/kg818–1,030725–1,061−5.8%±12%
Garlic
🇯🇵 Sendai City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
915 JPY/kg583–1,189545–1,271−8.5%±26%
Garlic, imported
🇯🇵 Sendai City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
446 JPY/kg424–461414–457−1.8%±3%
Garlic
🇯🇵 Takamatsu City Central Wholesale Market
829 JPY/kg691–986705–1,130+5.2%±13%
Garlic
🇯🇵 Toyosu Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
1,625 JPY/kg1,377–1,8711,403–2,077+4.2%±12%

When is garlic cheapest? Seasonal price calendar

Usual wholesale price in each month against the yearly average, by country.

Garlic wholesale prices by month, percent above or below the yearly average
CountryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecCheapestDearest
🇯🇵 Japan38 series · 19 markets · 2024–2026−3−1−2+3+1−2−1−1+3+2+4+3JanuaryNovember
🇺🇾 Uruguay3 series · 1 market · 2022–2025−12−16−15−9+12+11+17+6no data·no data·+0−8FebruaryJuly
🇵🇱 Poland2 series · 1 market · 2018–2026+13+6+4+0−2−15−11−3−1−10+2+9JuneJanuary

cheaper than the yearly average · dearer · figures in % · no quotes in that month (season or data gap). Monthly averages of each series against its yearly average, after removing the long-term trend such as inflation; median across series and markets of the country, years with at least 10 months of quotes.

A statistical forecast, not advice

The forecasts extend each series’ own seasonal pattern; they do not know about this year’s weather, harvests, policy or currency moves. Use the range, not only the central figure, and do not base trading, purchasing or credit decisions on them alone.

Questions and answers

Will garlic prices go up or down in the coming weeks?

Of 16 garlic price series with a forecast, 7 point higher and 9 lower or flat by the end of the forecast; the median series points to little change (−3.0%). The forecasts repeat what the season usually does and are recalculated daily (data of 13 Nov 2026).

When is garlic cheapest?

In Japan, wholesale garlic prices are usually lowest in January (−2.5% against the yearly average) and highest in November (+4.1%), based on 38 price series from 19 markets, 2024–2026. The calendar on this page shows 2 more countries.

How accurate is the garlic price forecast?

In tests on the last 52 weeks of each series, the typical 12-week error of the published garlic forecasts was 12%. Each series passed the test only because its errors were smaller than those of a “no change” forecast. Results of the archived forecasts are on the accuracy page.

Where do the garlic prices come from?

From the wholesale markets and price services listed on each series, as published, in their own currencies and units. Husfarm does not adjust them except to compute weekly and monthly averages.

Husfarm Garlic Index · Garlic prices today · All price forecasts · Accuracy

Calculated from Husfarm price data; changes with every update. Data licensed under CC BY 4.0.