2 wholesale banana price series from 2 markets in Japan have a forecast. The median series points to a fall over the coming weeks (−5.4% by the end of the forecast), against a typical 12-week error of 10%. Below: when banana is usually cheapest and dearest in 5 countries.
🇯🇵 Kanazawa City Central Wholesale Market, Japan
🇯🇵 Kitakyushu City Central Wholesale Market, Japan
Prices in each market’s currency and unit. Range: 80%. Typical error: median error at 12 weeks in the test on the series’ own history.
| Quote and market | Latest week | In 4 weeks | In 12 weeks | Change | Typical error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bananas, imported 🇯🇵 Kanazawa City Central Wholesale Market | 321 JPY/kg | 254–379 | 249–395 | −7.0% | ±15% |
| Bananas, imported 🇯🇵 Kitakyushu City Central Wholesale Market | 240 JPY/kg | 222–246 | 217–255 | −3.7% | ±4% |
Series quoted once a month: farm-gate, retail, benchmark and some wholesale prices, each in its own currency and unit. Same method on monthly averages: half of the usual seasonal change, tested on the last 24 months of each series. Range: 80%. Typical error: at 3 months.
Farm-gate price 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Bicol Region, Philippines
Farm-gate price 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Cagayan Valley, Philippines
| Quote and source | Price level | Latest month | Next month | In 3 months | Change | Typical error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banana, Latundan 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Bicol Region | Farm-gate price | 32.1 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 27.8–39.7 | 24.2–42.6 | +0.7% | ±18% |
| Banana, Lakatan 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Cagayan Valley | Farm-gate price | 36.3 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 30.8–46.2 | 29.4–49.9 | +8.2% | ±17% |
| Banana, Saba (cooking) 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Cagayan Valley | Farm-gate price | 25.1 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 21.0–33.9 | 21.1–34.9 | +2.8% | ±15% |
| Banana, Latundan 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Central Luzon | Farm-gate price | 33.6 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 29.9–43.1 | 25.9–45.2 | +2.8% | ±18% |
| Banana, Saba (cooking) 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Central Visayas | Farm-gate price | 17.5 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 14.9–20.6 | 12.8–21.1 | −1.9% | ±14% |
| Banana, Saba (cooking) 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Cordillera | Farm-gate price | 23.1 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 17.6–32.9 | 14.3–35.8 | +3.5% | ±24% |
| Banana, Latundan 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Davao Region | Farm-gate price | 14.9 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 12.6–18.3 | 12.3–19.6 | +6.5% | ±14% |
| Banana, Saba (cooking) 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Davao Region | Farm-gate price | 14.0 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 13.2–16.3 | 12.0–17.4 | −1.0% | ±11% |
| Banana, Latundan 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Ilocos Region | Farm-gate price | 43.0 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 34.7–58.3 | 30.4–61.9 | −7.3% | ±23% |
| Banana, Saba (cooking) 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Ilocos Region | Farm-gate price | 32.2 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 23.7–37.9 | 23.1–44.8 | +0.2% | ±20% |
| Banana, Latundan 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Mimaropa | Farm-gate price | 27.9 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 21.4–29.7 | 19.0–32.7 | −10.6% | ±23% |
| Banana, Lakatan 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Northern Mindanao | Farm-gate price | 22.6 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 19.6–25.0 | 18.7–28.1 | +4.2% | ±14% |
| Banana, Cavendish 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Soccsksargen | Farm-gate price | 20.5 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 14.9–22.4 | 15.1–27.1 | −4.6% | ±22% |
| Banana, Lakatan 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Soccsksargen | Farm-gate price | 26.6 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 22.8–33.0 | 20.5–33.9 | +10.3% | ±9% |
| Banana, Lakatan 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Zamboanga Peninsula | Farm-gate price | 26.1 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 21.6–30.2 | 20.1–34.1 | +1.6% | ±17% |
| Banana, Latundan 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Zamboanga Peninsula | Farm-gate price | 12.6 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 11.2–17.6 | 8.76–22.4 | +11.0% | ±25% |
| Banana, Latundan 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Bangsamoro (BARMM) | Farm-gate price | 23.1 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 17.4–32.7 | 15.4–34.8 | +10.1% | ±26% |
| Banana, Cavendish 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Negros Island Region | Farm-gate price | 27.4 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 16.7–43.6 | 13.9–71.4 | +13.2% | ±44% |
| Banana, Cavendish 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Northern Mindanao | Farm-gate price | 15.3 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 6.99–18.8 | 7.25–21.9 | −9.6% | ±44% |
| Banana, Bungulan 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Western Visayas | Farm-gate price | 25.8 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 15.7–34.8 | 17.4–40.3 | +5.0% | ±11% |
| Banana, Bungulan 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Zamboanga Peninsula | Farm-gate price | 16.2 PHP/kg Sep 2026 | 12.5–19.2 | 11.9–28.7 | −5.2% | ±20% |
Usual wholesale price in each month against the yearly average, by country.
| Country | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Cheapest | Dearest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇯🇵 Japan19 series · 19 markets · 2024–2026 | −2 | −1 | −0 | −1 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +2 | −1 | −5 | December | June |
| 🇺🇾 Uruguay11 series · 2 markets · 2017–2025 | −3 | +5 | +3 | −3 | −13 | −12 | −9 | −5 | +7 | +9 | +14 | +13 | May | November |
| 🇬🇹 Guatemala4 series · 2 markets · 2016–2025 | −1 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +0 | 0 | +1 | +1 | −1 | −1 | −1 | −1 | January | April |
| 🇮🇹 Italy1 series · 1 market · 2023–2026 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +4 | +2 | +2 | −1 | −3 | −3 | −2 | +1 | 0 | August | April |
| 🇵🇱 Poland1 series · 1 market · 2018–2026 | +7 | +4 | +7 | +12 | +6 | +1 | −2 | −5 | −12 | −7 | −3 | −2 | September | April |
cheaper than the yearly average · dearer · figures in % · no quotes in that month (season or data gap). Monthly averages of each series against its yearly average, after removing the long-term trend such as inflation; median across series and markets of the country, years with at least 10 months of quotes.
The forecasts extend each series’ own seasonal pattern; they do not know about this year’s weather, harvests, policy or currency moves. Use the range, not only the central figure, and do not base trading, purchasing or credit decisions on them alone.
Of 2 banana price series with a forecast, 0 point higher and 2 lower or flat by the end of the forecast; the median series points to a fall (−5.4%). The forecasts repeat what the season usually does and are recalculated daily (data of 14 Nov 2026).
In Japan, wholesale banana prices are usually lowest in December (−4.6% against the yearly average) and highest in June (+2.3%), based on 19 price series from 19 markets, 2024–2026. The calendar on this page shows 4 more countries.
In tests on the last 52 weeks of each series, the typical 12-week error of the published banana forecasts was 10%. Each series passed the test only because its errors were smaller than those of a “no change” forecast. Results of the archived forecasts are on the accuracy page.
From the wholesale markets and price services listed on each series, as published, in their own currencies and units. Husfarm does not adjust them except to compute weekly and monthly averages.
Husfarm Banana Index · Banana prices today · All price forecasts · Accuracy
Calculated from Husfarm price data; changes with every update. Data licensed under CC BY 4.0.
