14 wholesale apple price series from 12 markets in Poland and Japan have a forecast. The median series points to little change over the coming weeks (+2.1% by the end of the forecast), against a typical 12-week error of 17%. Below: when apple is usually cheapest and dearest in 4 countries.
🇵🇱 Targpiast, Wrocław, Poland
🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Northern Market), Japan
🇯🇵 Ota Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market), Japan
🇯🇵 Sapporo City Central Wholesale Market, Japan
Prices in each market’s currency and unit. Range: 80%. Typical error: median error at 12 weeks in the test on the series’ own history.
| Quote and market | Latest week | In 4 weeks | In 12 weeks | Change | Typical error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apples 🇵🇱 Targpiast, Wrocław | 2.95 PLN/kg | 2.50–3.28 | 1.86–3.33 | −6.3% | ±16% |
| Apples, Fuji 🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Northern Market) | 410 JPY/kg | 274–519 | 183–582 | +2.0% | ±21% |
| Apples, Fuji 🇯🇵 Ota Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market) | 408 JPY/kg | 315–492 | 275–623 | +4.6% | ±16% |
| Apples, Fuji 🇯🇵 Sapporo City Central Wholesale Market | 370 JPY/kg | 311–455 | 256–535 | +6.2% | ±13% |
| Apples, Fuji 🇯🇵 Sendai City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market) | 408 JPY/kg | 307–549 | 240–562 | +1.3% | ±15% |
| Apples, Fuji 🇯🇵 Okinawa Prefectural Central Wholesale Market | 473 JPY/kg | 409–568 | 318–649 | +0.1% | ±13% |
| Apples, Fuji 🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Eastern Market) | 374 JPY/kg | 316–501 | 280–666 | +4.1% | ±24% |
| Apples, Fuji 🇯🇵 Fukuoka City Central Wholesale Market, Produce Market (Vegefru Stadium) | 391 JPY/kg | 350–482 | 252–527 | −2.9% | ±17% |
| Apples, Fuji 🇯🇵 Kyoto City Central Wholesale Market | 364 JPY/kg | 315–499 | 248–546 | −2.4% | ±23% |
| Apples, Jonagold 🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Northern Market) | 324 JPY/kg | 216–479 | 155–589 | +11.5% | ±29% |
| Apples, Fuji 🇯🇵 Toyosu Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market) | 390 JPY/kg | 365–489 | 263–559 | +2.1% | ±22% |
| Apples, Fuji 🇯🇵 Yodobashi Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market) | 413 JPY/kg | 352–460 | 283–589 | +2.5% | ±15% |
| Apples, Fuji 🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market) | 427 JPY/kg | 375–487 | 280–585 | +1.4% | ±22% |
| Apples, Jonagold 🇯🇵 Ota Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market) | 315 JPY/kg | 283–388 | 241–446 | +8.8% | ±17% |
Usual wholesale price in each month against the yearly average, by country.
| Country | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Cheapest | Dearest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇯🇵 Japan48 series · 19 markets · 2024–2026 | −0 | −5 | −4 | 0 | +1 | +6 | +15 | +18 | −5 | −8 | −4 | +1 | October | August |
| 🇺🇾 Uruguay10 series · 1 market · 2022–2025 | +16 | +19 | +17 | +5 | +3 | −11 | −9 | −7 | −4 | +1 | +1 | +6 | June | February |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom5 series · 1 market · 2018–2026 | −4 | −3 | −3 | +3 | +4 | +6 | +0 | +1 | +4 | −1 | −7 | −5 | November | June |
| 🇵🇱 Poland1 series · 1 market · 2018–2026 | −11 | −13 | −15 | −4 | +3 | +4 | +34 | +32 | +7 | −16 | −14 | −11 | October | July |
cheaper than the yearly average · dearer · figures in % · no quotes in that month (season or data gap). Monthly averages of each series against its yearly average, after removing the long-term trend such as inflation; median across series and markets of the country, years with at least 10 months of quotes.
The forecasts extend each series’ own seasonal pattern; they do not know about this year’s weather, harvests, policy or currency moves. Use the range, not only the central figure, and do not base trading, purchasing or credit decisions on them alone.
Of 14 apple price series with a forecast, 11 point higher and 3 lower or flat by the end of the forecast; the median series points to little change (+2.1%). The forecasts repeat what the season usually does and are recalculated daily (data of 13 Nov 2026).
In Japan, wholesale apple prices are usually lowest in October (−8.3% against the yearly average) and highest in August (+18.4%), based on 48 price series from 19 markets, 2024–2026. The calendar on this page shows 3 more countries.
In tests on the last 52 weeks of each series, the typical 12-week error of the published apple forecasts was 17%. Each series passed the test only because its errors were smaller than those of a “no change” forecast. Results of the archived forecasts are on the accuracy page.
From the wholesale markets and price services listed on each series, as published, in their own currencies and units. Husfarm does not adjust them except to compute weekly and monthly averages.
Husfarm Apple Index · Apple prices today · All price forecasts · Accuracy
Calculated from Husfarm price data; changes with every update. Data licensed under CC BY 4.0.
