> Rice price forecast for 1 to 3 months ahead from 10 monthly series, with 80% ranges and typical errors. Updated with every data update.

Source: https://husfarm.com/forecasts/rice/

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# Rice price forecast for the next 3 months

10 rice price series quoted once a month in Philippines, Thailand, mostly prices paid to farmers, have a forecast. The median series points to a rise over the coming months (+9.7% by the end of the forecast), against a typical 3-month error of 11%.

[Rice prices today](https://husfarm.com/today-price/rice/)[Method](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/#method)

[Monthly forecasts](#monthly)[Seasonal calendar](#seasons)[Questions](#questions)

## Rice: monthly forecasts for the next 3 months

Series quoted once a month: farm-gate, retail, benchmark and some wholesale prices, each in its own currency and unit. Same method on monthly averages: half of the usual seasonal change, tested on the last 24 months of each series. Range: 80%. Typical error: at 3 months.
Monthly average priceMost likely path80% range

### [Palay (paddy) other varieties, dry, 14% moisture](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/psa-farmgate-prices-bicol/palay-paddy-other-varieties-dry-14pct-moisture/)

Farm-gate price 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Bicol Region, Philippines
Latest monthly average**20.9** PHP/kg Oct 2026
Nov 2026 +1 month**18.7–22.6** most likely 20.6 · −1.5%
Jan 2027 +3 months**19.4–27.3** most likely 22.7 · +8.7%
Typical error in tests7.1% at 1 month, 10.4% at 3 months (“no change”: 6.7% and 11.0%)

### [Palay (paddy) other varieties, dry, 14% moisture](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/psa-farmgate-prices-caraga/palay-paddy-other-varieties-dry-14pct-moisture/)

Farm-gate price 🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Caraga, Philippines
Latest monthly average**20.3** PHP/kg Oct 2026
Nov 2026 +1 month**17.9–22.0** most likely 20.7 · +1.9%
Jan 2027 +3 months**16.8–25.6** most likely 21.5 · +5.8%
Typical error in tests4.3% at 1 month, 9.7% at 3 months (“no change”: 4.4% and 10.2%)

Rice monthly price forecasts
| Quote and source | Price level | Latest month | Next month | In 3 months | Change | Typical error |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Palay (paddy) other varieties, dry, 14% moisture](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/psa-farmgate-prices-bicol/palay-paddy-other-varieties-dry-14pct-moisture/)🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Bicol Region
| Farm-gate price | 20.9 PHP/kgOct 2026
| 18.7–22.6 | 19.4–27.3 | +8.7% | ±10% |
| [Palay (paddy) other varieties, dry, 14% moisture](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/psa-farmgate-prices-caraga/palay-paddy-other-varieties-dry-14pct-moisture/)🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Caraga
| Farm-gate price | 20.3 PHP/kgOct 2026
| 17.9–22.0 | 16.8–25.6 | +5.8% | ±10% |
| [Palay (paddy) other varieties, dry, 14% moisture](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/psa-farmgate-prices-central-luzon/palay-paddy-other-varieties-dry-14pct-moisture/)🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Central Luzon
| Farm-gate price | 21.8 PHP/kgOct 2026
| 20.9–26.1 | 20.1–33.9 | +16.0% | ±21% |
| [Palay (paddy) other varieties, dry, 14% moisture](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/psa-farmgate-prices-eastern-visayas/palay-paddy-other-varieties-dry-14pct-moisture/)🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Eastern Visayas
| Farm-gate price | 21.0 PHP/kgOct 2026
| 19.7–24.5 | 18.7–27.0 | +7.6% | ±9% |
| [Palay (paddy) fancy, dry, 14% moisture](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/psa-farmgate-prices-mimaropa/palay-paddy-fancy-dry-14pct-moisture/)🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Mimaropa
| Farm-gate price | 22.9 PHP/kgOct 2026
| 21.2–25.9 | 21.8–33.4 | +12.5% | ±13% |
| [Palay (paddy) other varieties, dry, 14% moisture](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/psa-farmgate-prices-mimaropa/palay-paddy-other-varieties-dry-14pct-moisture/)🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Mimaropa
| Farm-gate price | 20.0 PHP/kgOct 2026
| 18.5–21.7 | 17.6–27.1 | +10.6% | ±9% |
| [Palay (paddy) fancy, dry, 14% moisture](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/psa-farmgate-prices-philippines/palay-paddy-fancy-dry-14pct-moisture/)🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Philippines
| Farm-gate price | 23.0 PHP/kgOct 2026
| 21.0–26.8 | 21.8–32.9 | +13.7% | ±13% |
| [Rice, Thai white 25% broken, FOB Bangkok](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/world-bank-benchmarks-thailand/rice-thai-white-25pct-broken-fob-bangkok/)🇹🇭 World Bank benchmark prices, Thailand
| World benchmark | 472 USD/tonOct 2026
| 448–509 | 432–553 | +4.9% | ±10% |
| [Rice, Thai white 5% broken, FOB Bangkok](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/world-bank-benchmarks-thailand/rice-thai-white-5pct-broken-fob-bangkok/)🇹🇭 World Bank benchmark prices, Thailand
| World benchmark | 489 USD/tonOct 2026
| 462–527 | 447–581 | +5.8% | ±11% |
| [Palay (paddy) fancy, dry, 14% moisture](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/psa-farmgate-prices-central-luzon/palay-paddy-fancy-dry-14pct-moisture/)🇵🇭 PSA farmgate prices, Central Luzon
| Farm-gate price | 23.1 PHP/kgOct 2026
| 20.1–28.8 | 19.7–36.1 | +14.9% | ±21% |

## When is rice cheapest? Seasonal price calendar

Usual wholesale price in each month against the yearly average, by country.
Rice wholesale prices by month, percent above or below the yearly average
| Country | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Cheapest | Dearest |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 🇬🇹 Guatemala1 series · 1 market · 2016–2025 | −3 | −2 | −2 | −1 | 0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +0 | 0 | +2 | +1 | January | November |

cheaper than the yearly average · dearer · figures in % · · no quotes in that month (season or data gap). Monthly averages of each series against its yearly average, after removing the long-term trend such as inflation; median across series and markets of the country, years with at least 10 months of quotes.

### A statistical forecast, not advice

The forecasts extend each series’ own seasonal pattern; they do not know about this year’s weather, harvests, policy or currency moves. Use the range, not only the central figure, and do not base trading, purchasing or credit decisions on them alone.

## Questions and answers

When is rice cheapest?In Guatemala, wholesale rice prices are usually lowest in January (−2.5% against the yearly average) and highest in November (+1.8%), based on 1 price series from 1 market, 2016–2025.
Where do the rice prices come from?From the wholesale markets and price services listed on each series, as published, in their own currencies and units. Husfarm does not adjust them except to compute weekly and monthly averages.

[Husfarm Rice Index](https://husfarm.com/indices/rice-world/) · [Rice prices today](https://husfarm.com/today-price/rice/) · [All price forecasts](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/) · [Accuracy](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/accuracy/)
Calculated from Husfarm price data; changes with every update. Data licensed under [CC BY 4.0](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

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