> Pumpkin wholesale price forecast for 20 series in Poland and Japan: 4- and 12-week ranges, typical error, and the months when pumpkin is cheapest.

Source: https://husfarm.com/forecasts/pumpkin/

[Home](https://husfarm.com/)›[Prices](https://husfarm.com/prices/)›[Price forecasts](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/)›PumpkinPrice forecast · data of 13 Nov 2026

# Pumpkin price forecast for the next 12 weeks

20 wholesale pumpkin price series from 19 markets in Poland and Japan have a forecast. The median series points to a rise over the coming weeks (+15.8% by the end of the forecast), against a typical 12-week error of 18%. Below: when pumpkin is usually cheapest and dearest in 3 countries.

[Pumpkin prices today](https://husfarm.com/today-price/pumpkin/)[Method](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/#method)

[Forecasts](#forecasts)[All series](#all)[Seasonal calendar](#seasons)[Questions](#questions)

## Pumpkin forecasts: 4 markets with the longest test record

Weekly average priceMost likely path80% range: 8 in 10 past forecasts ended inside a range this wide

### [Pumpkins](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/targpiast-wroclaw/pumpkins/)

🇵🇱 Targpiast, Wrocław, Poland
Latest weekly average**2.50** PLN/kg week of 9 Nov 2026
Week of 7 Dec 2026 +4 weeks**1.87–2.90** most likely 2.52 · +0.7%
Week of 1 Feb 2027 +12 weeks**1.71–4.05** most likely 2.47 · −1.4%
Typical error in tests10.2% at 4 weeks, 33.6% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 7.1% and 41.4%)

### [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/fukuoka-city-produce-market-vegfru-stadium/kabocha-squash/)

🇯🇵 Fukuoka City Central Wholesale Market, Produce Market (Vegefru Stadium), Japan
Latest weekly average**207** JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks**202–312** most likely 250 · +20.8%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks**158–414** most likely 226 · +9.3%
Typical error in tests15.6% at 4 weeks, 18.4% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 11.3% and 31.3%)

### [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/hiroshima-city-central-wholesale-market/kabocha-squash/)

🇯🇵 Hiroshima City Central Wholesale Market, Japan
Latest weekly average**230** JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks**188–330** most likely 253 · +10.0%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks**191–413** most likely 277 · +20.5%
Typical error in tests22.2% at 4 weeks, 23.1% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 21.9% and 30.4%)

### [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/kitakyushu-city-central-wholesale-market/kabocha-squash/)

🇯🇵 Kitakyushu City Central Wholesale Market, Japan
Latest weekly average**211** JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks**195–338** most likely 248 · +17.7%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks**160–394** most likely 244 · +15.6%
Typical error in tests12.5% at 4 weeks, 25.7% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 22.0% and 31.0%)

## All pumpkin forecasts

Prices in each market’s currency and unit. Range: 80%. Typical error: median error at 12 weeks in the test on the series’ own history.
Pumpkin price forecasts by market, data of 13 Nov 2026
| Quote and market | Latest week | In 4 weeks | In 12 weeks | Change | Typical error |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Pumpkins](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/targpiast-wroclaw/pumpkins/)🇵🇱 Targpiast, Wrocław
| 2.50 PLN/kg | 1.87–2.90 | 1.71–4.05 | −1.4% | ±34% |
| [Pumpkins](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/targpiast-wroclaw/pumpkins-2/)🇵🇱 Targpiast, Wrocław
| 3.50 PLN/kg | 2.72–3.96 | 2.54–4.41 | −3.6% | ±18% |
| [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/fukuoka-city-produce-market-vegfru-stadium/kabocha-squash/)🇯🇵 Fukuoka City Central Wholesale Market, Produce Market (Vegefru Stadium)
| 207 JPY/kg | 202–312 | 158–414 | +9.3% | ±18% |
| [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/hiroshima-city-central-wholesale-market/kabocha-squash/)🇯🇵 Hiroshima City Central Wholesale Market
| 230 JPY/kg | 188–330 | 191–413 | +20.5% | ±23% |
| [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/kitakyushu-city-central-wholesale-market/kabocha-squash/)🇯🇵 Kitakyushu City Central Wholesale Market
| 211 JPY/kg | 195–338 | 160–394 | +15.6% | ±26% |
| [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/kobe-city-central-wholesale-market/kabocha-squash/)🇯🇵 Kobe City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 210 JPY/kg | 187–357 | 159–373 | +13.5% | ±18% |
| [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/kyoto-central-wholesale-market/kabocha-squash/)🇯🇵 Kyoto City Central Wholesale Market
| 229 JPY/kg | 231–353 | 193–429 | +18.6% | ±22% |
| [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/nagoya-city-central-wholesale-market-honjo/kabocha-squash/)🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 239 JPY/kg | 209–342 | 215–386 | +22.2% | ±17% |
| [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/nagoya-city-central-wholesale-market-northern-market/kabocha-squash/)🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Northern Market)
| 186 JPY/kg | 168–314 | 191–375 | +42.1% | ±16% |
| [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/okinawa-prefectural-central-wholesale-market/kabocha-squash/)🇯🇵 Okinawa Prefectural Central Wholesale Market
| 275 JPY/kg | 226–373 | 248–434 | +14.5% | ±12% |
| [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/osaka-city-central-wholesale-market-eastern-market/kabocha-squash/)🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Eastern Market)
| 229 JPY/kg | 216–354 | 194–390 | +17.1% | ±16% |
| [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/osaka-city-central-wholesale-market-honjo/kabocha-squash/)🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 204 JPY/kg | 198–317 | 167–374 | +15.7% | ±27% |
| [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/ota-market/kabocha-squash/)🇯🇵 Ota Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
| 239 JPY/kg | 226–343 | 224–417 | +26.2% | ±17% |
| [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/sapporo-city-central-wholesale-market/kabocha-squash/)🇯🇵 Sapporo City Central Wholesale Market
| 172 JPY/kg | 159–267 | 155–360 | +38.1% | ±29% |
| [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/sendai-city-central-wholesale-market-honjo/kabocha-squash/)🇯🇵 Sendai City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 225 JPY/kg | 218–344 | 194–388 | +18.9% | ±17% |
| [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/takamatsu-city-central-wholesale-market/kabocha-squash/)🇯🇵 Takamatsu City Central Wholesale Market
| 217 JPY/kg | 242–388 | 214–446 | +42.6% | ±26% |
| [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/toshima-market/kabocha-squash/)🇯🇵 Toshima Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
| 200 JPY/kg | 164–283 | 154–349 | +13.5% | ±22% |
| [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/toyosu-market/kabocha-squash/)🇯🇵 Toyosu Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
| 263 JPY/kg | 262–382 | 231–413 | +12.1% | ±16% |
| [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/yodobashi-market/kabocha-squash/)🇯🇵 Yodobashi Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
| 241 JPY/kg | 240–339 | 207–381 | +15.9% | ±11% |
| [Kabocha squash](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/yokohama-central-wholesale-market-honjo/kabocha-squash/)🇯🇵 Yokohama City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 237 JPY/kg | 225–331 | 203–373 | +12.2% | ±20% |

## When is pumpkin cheapest? Seasonal price calendar

Usual wholesale price in each month against the yearly average, by country.
Pumpkin wholesale prices by month, percent above or below the yearly average
| Country | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Cheapest | Dearest |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 🇯🇵 Japan26 series · 19 markets · 2024–2026 | +4 | −3 | −15 | −9 | −2 | +5 | +17 | +13 | −13 | −13 | −2 | +22 | March | December |
| 🇺🇾 Uruguay9 series · 2 markets · 2017–2025 | +10 | −1 | −13 | −14 | −16 | −20 | −14 | −11 | +3 | +18 | +57 | +53 | June | November |
| 🇵🇱 Poland2 series · 1 market · 2019–2026 | −30 | −2 | +11 | +12 | +29 | +24 | +33 | +8 | −20 | −20 | −24 | −16 | January | July |

cheaper than the yearly average · dearer · figures in % · · no quotes in that month (season or data gap). Monthly averages of each series against its yearly average, after removing the long-term trend such as inflation; median across series and markets of the country, years with at least 10 months of quotes.

### A statistical forecast, not advice

The forecasts extend each series’ own seasonal pattern; they do not know about this year’s weather, harvests, policy or currency moves. Use the range, not only the central figure, and do not base trading, purchasing or credit decisions on them alone.

## Questions and answers

Will pumpkin prices go up or down in the coming weeks?Of 20 pumpkin price series with a forecast, 18 point higher and 2 lower or flat by the end of the forecast; the median series points to a rise (+15.8%). The forecasts repeat what the season usually does and are recalculated daily (data of 13 Nov 2026).
When is pumpkin cheapest?In Japan, wholesale pumpkin prices are usually lowest in March (−14.6% against the yearly average) and highest in December (+22.3%), based on 26 price series from 19 markets, 2024–2026. The calendar on this page shows 2 more countries.
How accurate is the pumpkin price forecast?In tests on the last 52 weeks of each series, the typical 12-week error of the published pumpkin forecasts was 18%. Each series passed the test only because its errors were smaller than those of a “no change” forecast. Results of the archived forecasts are on the accuracy page.
Where do the pumpkin prices come from?From the wholesale markets and price services listed on each series, as published, in their own currencies and units. Husfarm does not adjust them except to compute weekly and monthly averages.

[Husfarm Pumpkin Index](https://husfarm.com/indices/pumpkin-world/) · [Pumpkin prices today](https://husfarm.com/today-price/pumpkin/) · [All price forecasts](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/) · [Accuracy](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/accuracy/)
Calculated from Husfarm price data; changes with every update. Data licensed under [CC BY 4.0](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

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