> Melon wholesale price forecast for 20 series in Japan: 4- and 12-week ranges, typical error, and the months when melon is cheapest. Updated daily.

Source: https://husfarm.com/forecasts/melon/

[Home](https://husfarm.com/)›[Prices](https://husfarm.com/prices/)›[Price forecasts](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/)›MelonPrice forecast · data of 13 Nov 2026

# Melon price forecast for the next 12 weeks

20 wholesale melon price series from 17 markets in Japan have a forecast. The median series points to a rise over the coming weeks (+19.5% by the end of the forecast), against a typical 12-week error of 18%. Below: when melon is usually cheapest and dearest in 2 countries.

[Melon prices today](https://husfarm.com/today-price/melon/)[Method](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/#method)

[Forecasts](#forecasts)[All series](#all)[Seasonal calendar](#seasons)[Questions](#questions)

## Melon forecasts: 4 markets with the longest test record

Weekly average priceMost likely path80% range: 8 in 10 past forecasts ended inside a range this wide

### [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/fukuoka-city-produce-market-vegfru-stadium/greenhouse-muskmelons/)

🇯🇵 Fukuoka City Central Wholesale Market, Produce Market (Vegefru Stadium), Japan
Latest weekly average**697** JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks**596–921** most likely 759 · +8.9%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks**716–1,332** most likely 938 · +34.6%
Typical error in tests15.4% at 4 weeks, 15.2% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 20.6% and 31.8%)

### [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/hiroshima-city-central-wholesale-market/greenhouse-muskmelons/)

🇯🇵 Hiroshima City Central Wholesale Market, Japan
Latest weekly average**1,082** JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks**665–1,238** most likely 902 · −16.7%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks**782–1,713** most likely 1,157 · +7.0%
Typical error in tests12.8% at 4 weeks, 18.1% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 21.8% and 29.2%)

### [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/kanazawa-city-central-wholesale-market/greenhouse-muskmelons/)

🇯🇵 Kanazawa City Central Wholesale Market, Japan
Latest weekly average**1,146** JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks**1,026–1,437** most likely 1,195 · +4.3%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks**1,087–1,609** most likely 1,267 · +10.5%
Typical error in tests9.3% at 4 weeks, 9.4% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 11.7% and 21.3%)

### [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/kitakyushu-city-central-wholesale-market/greenhouse-muskmelons/)

🇯🇵 Kitakyushu City Central Wholesale Market, Japan
Latest weekly average**563** JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks**409–787** most likely 569 · +1.1%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks**518–1,348** most likely 814 · +44.6%
Typical error in tests18.6% at 4 weeks, 33.9% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 19.2% and 57.6%)

## All melon forecasts

Prices in each market’s currency and unit. Range: 80%. Typical error: median error at 12 weeks in the test on the series’ own history.
Melon price forecasts by market, data of 13 Nov 2026
| Quote and market | Latest week | In 4 weeks | In 12 weeks | Change | Typical error |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/fukuoka-city-produce-market-vegfru-stadium/greenhouse-muskmelons/)🇯🇵 Fukuoka City Central Wholesale Market, Produce Market (Vegefru Stadium)
| 697 JPY/kg | 596–921 | 716–1,332 | +34.6% | ±15% |
| [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/hiroshima-city-central-wholesale-market/greenhouse-muskmelons/)🇯🇵 Hiroshima City Central Wholesale Market
| 1,082 JPY/kg | 665–1,238 | 782–1,713 | +7.0% | ±18% |
| [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/kanazawa-city-central-wholesale-market/greenhouse-muskmelons/)🇯🇵 Kanazawa City Central Wholesale Market
| 1,146 JPY/kg | 1,026–1,437 | 1,087–1,609 | +10.5% | ±9% |
| [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/kitakyushu-city-central-wholesale-market/greenhouse-muskmelons/)🇯🇵 Kitakyushu City Central Wholesale Market
| 563 JPY/kg | 409–787 | 518–1,348 | +44.6% | ±34% |
| [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/kobe-city-central-wholesale-market/greenhouse-muskmelons/)🇯🇵 Kobe City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 867 JPY/kg | 654–1,544 | 669–1,581 | +20.5% | ±19% |
| [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/kyoto-central-wholesale-market/greenhouse-muskmelons/)🇯🇵 Kyoto City Central Wholesale Market
| 1,323 JPY/kg | 1,017–1,503 | 1,268–2,118 | +16.4% | ±14% |
| [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/nagoya-city-central-wholesale-market-honjo/greenhouse-muskmelons/)🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 995 JPY/kg | 855–1,320 | 902–1,693 | +21.1% | ±18% |
| [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/nagoya-city-central-wholesale-market-northern-market/greenhouse-muskmelons/)🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Northern Market)
| 1,248 JPY/kg | 1,265–1,772 | 1,207–2,084 | +28.2% | ±17% |
| [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/osaka-city-central-wholesale-market-eastern-market/greenhouse-muskmelons/)🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Eastern Market)
| 513 JPY/kg | 368–644 | 478–1,181 | +46.5% | ±32% |
| [Melons, imported](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/osaka-city-central-wholesale-market-eastern-market/melons-imported/)🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Eastern Market)
| 536 JPY/kg | 449–607 | 391–602 | −14.2% | ±9% |
| [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/osaka-city-central-wholesale-market-honjo/greenhouse-muskmelons/)🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 948 JPY/kg | 910–1,326 | 994–1,516 | +27.4% | ±13% |
| [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/ota-market/greenhouse-muskmelons/)🇯🇵 Ota Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
| 1,191 JPY/kg | 1,098–1,481 | 1,184–1,772 | +18.4% | ±14% |
| [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/sendai-city-central-wholesale-market-honjo/greenhouse-muskmelons/)🇯🇵 Sendai City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 631 JPY/kg | 516–964 | 677–1,381 | +50.4% | ±25% |
| [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/takamatsu-city-central-wholesale-market/greenhouse-muskmelons/)🇯🇵 Takamatsu City Central Wholesale Market
| 1,430 JPY/kg | 942–1,710 | 1,184–2,365 | +13.9% | ±9% |
| [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/toshima-market/greenhouse-muskmelons/)🇯🇵 Toshima Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
| 1,056 JPY/kg | 788–1,254 | 931–1,883 | +18.6% | ±28% |
| [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/toyosu-market/greenhouse-muskmelons/)🇯🇵 Toyosu Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
| 1,359 JPY/kg | 1,210–1,910 | 1,249–2,061 | +16.2% | ±12% |
| [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/yodobashi-market/greenhouse-muskmelons/)🇯🇵 Yodobashi Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
| 879 JPY/kg | 728–1,263 | 827–1,641 | +33.6% | ±23% |
| [Greenhouse muskmelons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/yokohama-central-wholesale-market-honjo/greenhouse-muskmelons/)🇯🇵 Yokohama City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 659 JPY/kg | 509–782 | 542–1,097 | +20.4% | ±18% |
| [Andes melons](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/ota-market/andes-melons/)🇯🇵 Ota Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
| 501 JPY/kg | 467–667 | 446–809 | +13.8% | ±13% |
| [Melons, imported](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/nagoya-city-central-wholesale-market-honjo/melons-imported/)🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 408 JPY/kg | 272–487 | 261–497 | −7.5% | ±18% |

## When is melon cheapest? Seasonal price calendar

Usual wholesale price in each month against the yearly average, by country.
Melon wholesale prices by month, percent above or below the yearly average
| Country | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Cheapest | Dearest |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 🇯🇵 Japan39 series · 18 markets · 2024–2026 | +20 | +30 | +25 | +18 | −4 | −18 | −18 | −23 | −18 | −8 | −4 | +18 | August | February |
| 🇵🇱 Poland2 series · 1 market · 2019–2026 | −4 | +6 | +5 | +5 | +4 | −3 | −8 | +0 | +2 | +2 | +1 | −4 | July | February |

cheaper than the yearly average · dearer · figures in % · · no quotes in that month (season or data gap). Monthly averages of each series against its yearly average, after removing the long-term trend such as inflation; median across series and markets of the country, years with at least 10 months of quotes.

### A statistical forecast, not advice

The forecasts extend each series’ own seasonal pattern; they do not know about this year’s weather, harvests, policy or currency moves. Use the range, not only the central figure, and do not base trading, purchasing or credit decisions on them alone.

## Questions and answers

Will melon prices go up or down in the coming weeks?Of 20 melon price series with a forecast, 18 point higher and 2 lower or flat by the end of the forecast; the median series points to a rise (+19.5%). The forecasts repeat what the season usually does and are recalculated daily (data of 13 Nov 2026).
When is melon cheapest?In Japan, wholesale melon prices are usually lowest in August (−22.5% against the yearly average) and highest in February (+30.4%), based on 39 price series from 18 markets, 2024–2026. The calendar on this page shows 1 more country.
How accurate is the melon price forecast?In tests on the last 52 weeks of each series, the typical 12-week error of the published melon forecasts was 18%. Each series passed the test only because its errors were smaller than those of a “no change” forecast. Results of the archived forecasts are on the accuracy page.
Where do the melon prices come from?From the wholesale markets and price services listed on each series, as published, in their own currencies and units. Husfarm does not adjust them except to compute weekly and monthly averages.

[Husfarm Melon Index](https://husfarm.com/indices/melon-world/) · [Melon prices today](https://husfarm.com/today-price/melon/) · [All price forecasts](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/) · [Accuracy](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/accuracy/)
Calculated from Husfarm price data; changes with every update. Data licensed under [CC BY 4.0](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

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