> Mandarin wholesale price forecast for 15 series in Japan: 4- and 12-week ranges, typical error, and the months when mandarin is cheapest. Updated daily.

Source: https://husfarm.com/forecasts/mandarin/

[Home](https://husfarm.com/)›[Prices](https://husfarm.com/prices/)›[Price forecasts](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/)›MandarinPrice forecast · data of 13 Nov 2026

# Mandarin price forecast for the next 12 weeks

15 wholesale mandarin price series from 15 markets in Japan have a forecast. The median series points to little change over the coming weeks (+7.5% by the end of the forecast), against a typical 12-week error of 67%. Below: when mandarin is usually cheapest and dearest in 2 countries.

[Mandarin prices today](https://husfarm.com/today-price/mandarin/)[Method](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/#method)

[Forecasts](#forecasts)[All series](#all)[Seasonal calendar](#seasons)[Questions](#questions)

## Mandarin forecasts: 4 markets with the longest test record

Weekly average priceMost likely path80% range: 8 in 10 past forecasts ended inside a range this wide

### [Satsuma mandarins (mikan)](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/kitakyushu-city-central-wholesale-market/satsuma-mandarins/)

🇯🇵 Kitakyushu City Central Wholesale Market, Japan
Latest weekly average**281** JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks**206–559** most likely 288 · +2.6%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks**143–932** most likely 303 · +7.9%
Typical error in tests10.6% at 4 weeks, 50.0% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 9.8% and 97.6%)

### [Satsuma mandarins (mikan)](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/osaka-city-central-wholesale-market-honjo/satsuma-mandarins/)

🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market), Japan
Latest weekly average**338** JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks**255–616** most likely 353 · +4.3%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks**196–1,023** most likely 357 · +5.6%
Typical error in tests11.6% at 4 weeks, 41.5% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 20.1% and 79.2%)

### [Satsuma mandarins (mikan)](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/ota-market/satsuma-mandarins/)

🇯🇵 Ota Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market), Japan
Latest weekly average**345** JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks**263–462** most likely 366 · +6.1%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks**183–981** most likely 379 · +9.9%
Typical error in tests17.0% at 4 weeks, 66.5% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 20.6% and 142.8%)

### [Satsuma mandarins (mikan)](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/takamatsu-city-central-wholesale-market/satsuma-mandarins/)

🇯🇵 Takamatsu City Central Wholesale Market, Japan
Latest weekly average**262** JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks**204–914** most likely 294 · +12.0%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks**120–1,331** most likely 297 · +13.3%
Typical error in tests11.8% at 4 weeks, 77.9% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 24.4% and 174.7%)

## All mandarin forecasts

Prices in each market’s currency and unit. Range: 80%. Typical error: median error at 12 weeks in the test on the series’ own history.
Mandarin price forecasts by market, data of 13 Nov 2026
| Quote and market | Latest week | In 4 weeks | In 12 weeks | Change | Typical error |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Satsuma mandarins (mikan)](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/kitakyushu-city-central-wholesale-market/satsuma-mandarins/)🇯🇵 Kitakyushu City Central Wholesale Market
| 281 JPY/kg | 206–559 | 143–932 | +7.9% | ±50% |
| [Satsuma mandarins (mikan)](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/osaka-city-central-wholesale-market-honjo/satsuma-mandarins/)🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 338 JPY/kg | 255–616 | 196–1,023 | +5.6% | ±42% |
| [Satsuma mandarins (mikan)](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/ota-market/satsuma-mandarins/)🇯🇵 Ota Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
| 345 JPY/kg | 263–462 | 183–981 | +9.9% | ±67% |
| [Satsuma mandarins (mikan)](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/takamatsu-city-central-wholesale-market/satsuma-mandarins/)🇯🇵 Takamatsu City Central Wholesale Market
| 262 JPY/kg | 204–914 | 120–1,331 | +13.3% | ±78% |
| [Satsuma mandarins (mikan)](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/yodobashi-market/satsuma-mandarins/)🇯🇵 Yodobashi Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
| 328 JPY/kg | 254–615 | 166–920 | +6.1% | ±83% |
| [Satsuma mandarins (mikan)](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/yokohama-central-wholesale-market-honjo/satsuma-mandarins/)🇯🇵 Yokohama City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 344 JPY/kg | 225–458 | 178–1,092 | +7.5% | ±75% |
| [Satsuma mandarins (mikan)](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/kanazawa-city-central-wholesale-market/satsuma-mandarins/)🇯🇵 Kanazawa City Central Wholesale Market
| 395 JPY/kg | 273–489 | 180–1,173 | −9.8% | ±66% |
| [Satsuma mandarins (mikan)](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/nagoya-city-central-wholesale-market-northern-market/satsuma-mandarins/)🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Northern Market)
| 321 JPY/kg | 207–384 | 198–961 | +13.1% | ±66% |
| [Satsuma mandarins (mikan)](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/toyosu-market/satsuma-mandarins/)🇯🇵 Toyosu Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
| 314 JPY/kg | 220–416 | 149–998 | +4.9% | ±69% |
| [Satsuma mandarins (mikan)](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/fukuoka-city-produce-market-vegfru-stadium/satsuma-mandarins/)🇯🇵 Fukuoka City Central Wholesale Market, Produce Market (Vegefru Stadium)
| 313 JPY/kg | 180–400 | 140–978 | −6.2% | ±78% |
| [Satsuma mandarins (mikan)](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/kobe-city-central-wholesale-market/satsuma-mandarins/)🇯🇵 Kobe City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 264 JPY/kg | 210–361 | 117–1,080 | −0.5% | ±94% |
| [Satsuma mandarins (mikan)](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/kyoto-central-wholesale-market/satsuma-mandarins/)🇯🇵 Kyoto City Central Wholesale Market
| 319 JPY/kg | 258–460 | 189–794 | +11.1% | ±42% |
| [Satsuma mandarins (mikan)](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/osaka-city-central-wholesale-market-eastern-market/satsuma-mandarins/)🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Eastern Market)
| 318 JPY/kg | 215–374 | 154–1,118 | +2.6% | ±48% |
| [Satsuma mandarins (mikan)](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/sapporo-city-central-wholesale-market/satsuma-mandarins/)🇯🇵 Sapporo City Central Wholesale Market
| 337 JPY/kg | 219–463 | 183–1,255 | +10.1% | ±72% |
| [Satsuma mandarins (mikan)](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/sendai-city-central-wholesale-market-honjo/satsuma-mandarins/)🇯🇵 Sendai City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 327 JPY/kg | 245–456 | 183–772 | +8.0% | ±63% |

## When is mandarin cheapest? Seasonal price calendar

Usual wholesale price in each month against the yearly average, by country.
Mandarin wholesale prices by month, percent above or below the yearly average
| Country | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Cheapest | Dearest |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 🇯🇵 Japan19 series · 19 markets · 2024–2026 | −48 | −43 | −30 | +127 | +214 | +109 | +78 | +54 | −42 | −52 | −46 | −42 | October | May |
| 🇵🇱 Poland1 series · 1 market · 2018–2026 | −2 | −0 | −2 | −7 | −8 | −6 | +1 | +12 | +12 | +6 | +11 | −5 | May | August |

cheaper than the yearly average · dearer · figures in % · · no quotes in that month (season or data gap). Monthly averages of each series against its yearly average, after removing the long-term trend such as inflation; median across series and markets of the country, years with at least 10 months of quotes.

### A statistical forecast, not advice

The forecasts extend each series’ own seasonal pattern; they do not know about this year’s weather, harvests, policy or currency moves. Use the range, not only the central figure, and do not base trading, purchasing or credit decisions on them alone.

## Questions and answers

Will mandarin prices go up or down in the coming weeks?Of 15 mandarin price series with a forecast, 12 point higher and 3 lower or flat by the end of the forecast; the median series points to little change (+7.5%). The forecasts repeat what the season usually does and are recalculated daily (data of 13 Nov 2026).
When is mandarin cheapest?In Japan, wholesale mandarin prices are usually lowest in October (−51.7% against the yearly average) and highest in May (+214.3%), based on 19 price series from 19 markets, 2024–2026. The calendar on this page shows 1 more country.
How accurate is the mandarin price forecast?In tests on the last 52 weeks of each series, the typical 12-week error of the published mandarin forecasts was 67%. Each series passed the test only because its errors were smaller than those of a “no change” forecast. Results of the archived forecasts are on the accuracy page.
Where do the mandarin prices come from?From the wholesale markets and price services listed on each series, as published, in their own currencies and units. Husfarm does not adjust them except to compute weekly and monthly averages.

[Husfarm Mandarin Index](https://husfarm.com/indices/mandarin-world/) · [Mandarin prices today](https://husfarm.com/today-price/mandarin/) · [All price forecasts](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/) · [Accuracy](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/accuracy/)
Calculated from Husfarm price data; changes with every update. Data licensed under [CC BY 4.0](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

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