> Chilli Pepper wholesale price forecast for 15 series in Poland and Japan: 4- and 12-week ranges, typical error, and the months when chilli pepper is cheapest.

Source: https://husfarm.com/forecasts/chilli-pepper/

[Home](https://husfarm.com/)›[Prices](https://husfarm.com/prices/)›[Price forecasts](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/)›Chilli PepperPrice forecast · data of 13 Nov 2026

# Chilli Pepper price forecast for the next 12 weeks

15 wholesale chilli pepper price series from 15 markets in Poland and Japan have a forecast. The median series points to a rise over the coming weeks (+16.6% by the end of the forecast), against a typical 12-week error of 17%. Below: when chilli pepper is usually cheapest and dearest in 4 countries.

[Chilli Pepper prices today](https://husfarm.com/today-price/pepper/)[Method](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/#method)

[Forecasts](#forecasts)[All series](#all)[Seasonal calendar](#seasons)[Questions](#questions)

## Chilli Pepper forecasts: 4 markets with the longest test record

Weekly average priceMost likely path80% range: 8 in 10 past forecasts ended inside a range this wide

### [Chilli peppers](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/targpiast-wroclaw/chilli-peppers/)

🇵🇱 Targpiast, Wrocław, Poland
Latest weekly average**12.5** PLN/kg week of 2 Nov 2026
Week of 30 Nov 2026 +4 weeks**10.9–17.7** most likely 14.6 · +17.0%
Week of 25 Jan 2027 +12 weeks**9.32–23.5** most likely 15.4 · +22.9%
Typical error in tests9.3% at 4 weeks, 32.0% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 11.1% and 36.4%)

### [Shishito peppers](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/kobe-city-central-wholesale-market/shishito-peppers/)

🇯🇵 Kobe City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market), Japan
Latest weekly average**1,786** JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks**1,330–2,897** most likely 1,904 · +6.6%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks**1,321–3,954** most likely 2,082 · +16.6%
Typical error in tests19.1% at 4 weeks, 27.0% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 17.9% and 43.2%)

### [Shishito peppers](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/kyoto-central-wholesale-market/shishito-peppers/)

🇯🇵 Kyoto City Central Wholesale Market, Japan
Latest weekly average**834** JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks**791–1,525** most likely 1,058 · +26.8%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks**780–1,663** most likely 1,115 · +33.7%
Typical error in tests24.7% at 4 weeks, 15.3% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 24.7% and 21.2%)

### [Shishito peppers](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/nagoya-city-central-wholesale-market-honjo/shishito-peppers/)

🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market), Japan
Latest weekly average**1,876** JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks**1,550–2,272** most likely 1,809 · −3.6%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks**1,512–2,743** most likely 1,928 · +2.8%
Typical error in tests9.9% at 4 weeks, 17.0% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 11.1% and 23.4%)

## All chilli pepper forecasts

Prices in each market’s currency and unit. Range: 80%. Typical error: median error at 12 weeks in the test on the series’ own history.
Chilli Pepper price forecasts by market, data of 13 Nov 2026
| Quote and market | Latest week | In 4 weeks | In 12 weeks | Change | Typical error |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Chilli peppers](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/targpiast-wroclaw/chilli-peppers/)🇵🇱 Targpiast, Wrocław
| 12.5 PLN/kg | 10.9–17.7 | 9.32–23.5 | +22.9% | ±32% |
| [Shishito peppers](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/kobe-city-central-wholesale-market/shishito-peppers/)🇯🇵 Kobe City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 1,786 JPY/kg | 1,330–2,897 | 1,321–3,954 | +16.6% | ±27% |
| [Shishito peppers](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/kyoto-central-wholesale-market/shishito-peppers/)🇯🇵 Kyoto City Central Wholesale Market
| 834 JPY/kg | 791–1,525 | 780–1,663 | +33.7% | ±15% |
| [Shishito peppers](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/nagoya-city-central-wholesale-market-honjo/shishito-peppers/)🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 1,876 JPY/kg | 1,550–2,272 | 1,512–2,743 | +2.8% | ±17% |
| [Shishito peppers](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/nagoya-city-central-wholesale-market-northern-market/shishito-peppers/)🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Northern Market)
| 1,786 JPY/kg | 1,486–2,099 | 1,477–2,527 | +3.1% | ±12% |
| [Shishito peppers](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/osaka-city-central-wholesale-market-eastern-market/shishito-peppers/)🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Eastern Market)
| 1,503 JPY/kg | 1,224–1,802 | 1,297–2,097 | +8.3% | ±13% |
| [Shishito peppers](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/osaka-city-central-wholesale-market-honjo/shishito-peppers/)🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 1,216 JPY/kg | 1,086–1,556 | 1,051–1,810 | +7.6% | ±10% |
| [Shishito peppers](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/ota-market/shishito-peppers/)🇯🇵 Ota Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
| 1,806 JPY/kg | 1,614–2,768 | 1,593–3,511 | +26.0% | ±28% |
| [Shishito peppers](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/sapporo-city-central-wholesale-market/shishito-peppers/)🇯🇵 Sapporo City Central Wholesale Market
| 2,248 JPY/kg | 1,844–3,114 | 2,019–4,741 | +22.3% | ±21% |
| [Shishito peppers](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/sendai-city-central-wholesale-market-honjo/shishito-peppers/)🇯🇵 Sendai City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 1,941 JPY/kg | 1,605–2,798 | 1,618–3,802 | +19.6% | ±29% |
| [Shishito peppers](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/takamatsu-city-central-wholesale-market/shishito-peppers/)🇯🇵 Takamatsu City Central Wholesale Market
| 2,428 JPY/kg | 1,992–2,685 | 1,987–3,283 | −0.1% | ±14% |
| [Shishito peppers](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/toshima-market/shishito-peppers/)🇯🇵 Toshima Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
| 2,355 JPY/kg | 2,002–3,024 | 2,073–4,351 | +15.8% | ±23% |
| [Shishito peppers](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/toyosu-market/shishito-peppers/)🇯🇵 Toyosu Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
| 1,817 JPY/kg | 1,626–2,674 | 1,618–3,256 | +23.5% | ±17% |
| [Shishito peppers](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/yodobashi-market/shishito-peppers/)🇯🇵 Yodobashi Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
| 2,076 JPY/kg | 1,926–2,661 | 2,065–3,627 | +21.2% | ±15% |
| [Shishito peppers](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/yokohama-central-wholesale-market-honjo/shishito-peppers/)🇯🇵 Yokohama City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 2,040 JPY/kg | 1,665–2,581 | 1,761–4,019 | +15.4% | ±13% |

## When is chilli pepper cheapest? Seasonal price calendar

Usual wholesale price in each month against the yearly average, by country.
Chilli Pepper wholesale prices by month, percent above or below the yearly average
| Country | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Cheapest | Dearest |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 🇯🇵 Japan19 series · 19 markets · 2024–2026 | +20 | +10 | +13 | +11 | −3 | −18 | −17 | −4 | −9 | −1 | −6 | +23 | June | December |
| 🇬🇹 Guatemala2 series · 2 markets · 2016–2025 | +2 | −2 | −1 | −15 | −15 | +5 | +20 | −1 | −5 | −3 | +5 | +34 | April | December |
| 🇵🇱 Poland1 series · 1 market · 2023–2026 | +12 | +24 | +28 | +29 | +43 | +37 | −2 | −31 | −37 | −34 | −20 | −5 | September | May |
| 🇺🇾 Uruguay1 series · 1 market · 2017–2020 | −19 | no data· | −25 | −26 | −36 | +25 | +38 | +67 | +38 | +15 | −7 | −18 | May | August |

cheaper than the yearly average · dearer · figures in % · · no quotes in that month (season or data gap). Monthly averages of each series against its yearly average, after removing the long-term trend such as inflation; median across series and markets of the country, years with at least 10 months of quotes.

### A statistical forecast, not advice

The forecasts extend each series’ own seasonal pattern; they do not know about this year’s weather, harvests, policy or currency moves. Use the range, not only the central figure, and do not base trading, purchasing or credit decisions on them alone.

## Questions and answers

Will chilli pepper prices go up or down in the coming weeks?Of 15 chilli pepper price series with a forecast, 14 point higher and 1 lower or flat by the end of the forecast; the median series points to a rise (+16.6%). The forecasts repeat what the season usually does and are recalculated daily (data of 13 Nov 2026).
When is chilli pepper cheapest?In Japan, wholesale chilli pepper prices are usually lowest in June (−18.0% against the yearly average) and highest in December (+22.9%), based on 19 price series from 19 markets, 2024–2026. The calendar on this page shows 3 more countries.
How accurate is the chilli pepper price forecast?In tests on the last 52 weeks of each series, the typical 12-week error of the published chilli pepper forecasts was 17%. Each series passed the test only because its errors were smaller than those of a “no change” forecast. Results of the archived forecasts are on the accuracy page.
Where do the chilli pepper prices come from?From the wholesale markets and price services listed on each series, as published, in their own currencies and units. Husfarm does not adjust them except to compute weekly and monthly averages.

[Husfarm Chilli Pepper Index](https://husfarm.com/indices/chilli-pepper-world/) · [Chilli Pepper prices today](https://husfarm.com/today-price/pepper/) · [All price forecasts](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/) · [Accuracy](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/accuracy/)
Calculated from Husfarm price data; changes with every update. Data licensed under [CC BY 4.0](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

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