> Apple wholesale price forecast for 14 series in Poland and Japan: 4- and 12-week ranges, typical error, and the months when apple is cheapest. Updated daily.

Source: https://husfarm.com/forecasts/apple/

[Home](https://husfarm.com/)›[Prices](https://husfarm.com/prices/)›[Price forecasts](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/)›ApplePrice forecast · data of 13 Nov 2026

# Apple price forecast for the next 12 weeks

14 wholesale apple price series from 12 markets in Poland and Japan have a forecast. The median series points to little change over the coming weeks (+2.1% by the end of the forecast), against a typical 12-week error of 17%. Below: when apple is usually cheapest and dearest in 4 countries.

[Apple prices today](https://husfarm.com/today-price/apple/)[Method](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/#method)

[Forecasts](#forecasts)[All series](#all)[Seasonal calendar](#seasons)[Questions](#questions)

## Apple forecasts: 4 markets with the longest test record

Weekly average priceMost likely path80% range: 8 in 10 past forecasts ended inside a range this wide

### [Apples](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/targpiast-wroclaw/apples/)

🇵🇱 Targpiast, Wrocław, Poland
Latest weekly average**2.95** PLN/kg week of 9 Nov 2026
Week of 7 Dec 2026 +4 weeks**2.50–3.28** most likely 2.95 · ±0.0%
Week of 1 Feb 2027 +12 weeks**1.86–3.33** most likely 2.76 · −6.3%
Typical error in tests5.9% at 4 weeks, 16.3% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 4.2% and 20.0%)

### [Apples, Fuji](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/nagoya-city-central-wholesale-market-northern-market/apples-fuji/)

🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Northern Market), Japan
Latest weekly average**410** JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks**274–519** most likely 414 · +1.0%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks**183–582** most likely 418 · +2.0%
Typical error in tests9.1% at 4 weeks, 21.0% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 10.3% and 24.9%)

### [Apples, Fuji](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/ota-market/apples-fuji/)

🇯🇵 Ota Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market), Japan
Latest weekly average**408** JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks**315–492** most likely 421 · +3.1%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks**275–623** most likely 427 · +4.6%
Typical error in tests6.9% at 4 weeks, 15.8% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 10.8% and 24.6%)

### [Apples, Fuji](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/sapporo-city-central-wholesale-market/apples-fuji/)

🇯🇵 Sapporo City Central Wholesale Market, Japan
Latest weekly average**370** JPY/kg week of 26 Oct 2026
Week of 23 Nov 2026 +4 weeks**311–455** most likely 398 · +7.7%
Week of 18 Jan 2027 +12 weeks**256–535** most likely 393 · +6.2%
Typical error in tests4.0% at 4 weeks, 13.1% at 12 weeks (“no change”: 10.4% and 21.7%)

## All apple forecasts

Prices in each market’s currency and unit. Range: 80%. Typical error: median error at 12 weeks in the test on the series’ own history.
Apple price forecasts by market, data of 13 Nov 2026
| Quote and market | Latest week | In 4 weeks | In 12 weeks | Change | Typical error |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Apples](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/targpiast-wroclaw/apples/)🇵🇱 Targpiast, Wrocław
| 2.95 PLN/kg | 2.50–3.28 | 1.86–3.33 | −6.3% | ±16% |
| [Apples, Fuji](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/nagoya-city-central-wholesale-market-northern-market/apples-fuji/)🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Northern Market)
| 410 JPY/kg | 274–519 | 183–582 | +2.0% | ±21% |
| [Apples, Fuji](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/ota-market/apples-fuji/)🇯🇵 Ota Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
| 408 JPY/kg | 315–492 | 275–623 | +4.6% | ±16% |
| [Apples, Fuji](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/sapporo-city-central-wholesale-market/apples-fuji/)🇯🇵 Sapporo City Central Wholesale Market
| 370 JPY/kg | 311–455 | 256–535 | +6.2% | ±13% |
| [Apples, Fuji](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/sendai-city-central-wholesale-market-honjo/apples-fuji/)🇯🇵 Sendai City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 408 JPY/kg | 307–549 | 240–562 | +1.3% | ±15% |
| [Apples, Fuji](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/okinawa-prefectural-central-wholesale-market/apples-fuji/)🇯🇵 Okinawa Prefectural Central Wholesale Market
| 473 JPY/kg | 409–568 | 318–649 | +0.1% | ±13% |
| [Apples, Fuji](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/osaka-city-central-wholesale-market-eastern-market/apples-fuji/)🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Eastern Market)
| 374 JPY/kg | 316–501 | 280–666 | +4.1% | ±24% |
| [Apples, Fuji](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/fukuoka-city-produce-market-vegfru-stadium/apples-fuji/)🇯🇵 Fukuoka City Central Wholesale Market, Produce Market (Vegefru Stadium)
| 391 JPY/kg | 350–482 | 252–527 | −2.9% | ±17% |
| [Apples, Fuji](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/kyoto-central-wholesale-market/apples-fuji/)🇯🇵 Kyoto City Central Wholesale Market
| 364 JPY/kg | 315–499 | 248–546 | −2.4% | ±23% |
| [Apples, Jonagold](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/nagoya-city-central-wholesale-market-northern-market/apples-jonagold/)🇯🇵 Nagoya City Central Wholesale Market (Northern Market)
| 324 JPY/kg | 216–479 | 155–589 | +11.5% | ±29% |
| [Apples, Fuji](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/toyosu-market/apples-fuji/)🇯🇵 Toyosu Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
| 390 JPY/kg | 365–489 | 263–559 | +2.1% | ±22% |
| [Apples, Fuji](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/yodobashi-market/apples-fuji/)🇯🇵 Yodobashi Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
| 413 JPY/kg | 352–460 | 283–589 | +2.5% | ±15% |
| [Apples, Fuji](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/osaka-city-central-wholesale-market-honjo/apples-fuji/)🇯🇵 Osaka City Central Wholesale Market (Main Market)
| 427 JPY/kg | 375–487 | 280–585 | +1.4% | ±22% |
| [Apples, Jonagold](https://husfarm.com/prices/quotes/ota-market/apples-jonagold/)🇯🇵 Ota Market (Tokyo Metropolitan Central Wholesale Market)
| 315 JPY/kg | 283–388 | 241–446 | +8.8% | ±17% |

## When is apple cheapest? Seasonal price calendar

Usual wholesale price in each month against the yearly average, by country.
Apple wholesale prices by month, percent above or below the yearly average
| Country | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Cheapest | Dearest |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 🇯🇵 Japan48 series · 19 markets · 2024–2026 | −0 | −5 | −4 | 0 | +1 | +6 | +15 | +18 | −5 | −8 | −4 | +1 | October | August |
| 🇺🇾 Uruguay10 series · 1 market · 2022–2025 | +16 | +19 | +17 | +5 | +3 | −11 | −9 | −7 | −4 | +1 | +1 | +6 | June | February |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom5 series · 1 market · 2018–2026 | −4 | −3 | −3 | +3 | +4 | +6 | +0 | +1 | +4 | −1 | −7 | −5 | November | June |
| 🇵🇱 Poland1 series · 1 market · 2018–2026 | −11 | −13 | −15 | −4 | +3 | +4 | +34 | +32 | +7 | −16 | −14 | −11 | October | July |

cheaper than the yearly average · dearer · figures in % · · no quotes in that month (season or data gap). Monthly averages of each series against its yearly average, after removing the long-term trend such as inflation; median across series and markets of the country, years with at least 10 months of quotes.

### A statistical forecast, not advice

The forecasts extend each series’ own seasonal pattern; they do not know about this year’s weather, harvests, policy or currency moves. Use the range, not only the central figure, and do not base trading, purchasing or credit decisions on them alone.

## Questions and answers

Will apple prices go up or down in the coming weeks?Of 14 apple price series with a forecast, 11 point higher and 3 lower or flat by the end of the forecast; the median series points to little change (+2.1%). The forecasts repeat what the season usually does and are recalculated daily (data of 13 Nov 2026).
When is apple cheapest?In Japan, wholesale apple prices are usually lowest in October (−8.3% against the yearly average) and highest in August (+18.4%), based on 48 price series from 19 markets, 2024–2026. The calendar on this page shows 3 more countries.
How accurate is the apple price forecast?In tests on the last 52 weeks of each series, the typical 12-week error of the published apple forecasts was 17%. Each series passed the test only because its errors were smaller than those of a “no change” forecast. Results of the archived forecasts are on the accuracy page.
Where do the apple prices come from?From the wholesale markets and price services listed on each series, as published, in their own currencies and units. Husfarm does not adjust them except to compute weekly and monthly averages.

[Husfarm Apple Index](https://husfarm.com/indices/apple-world/) · [Apple prices today](https://husfarm.com/today-price/apple/) · [All price forecasts](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/) · [Accuracy](https://husfarm.com/forecasts/accuracy/)
Calculated from Husfarm price data; changes with every update. Data licensed under [CC BY 4.0](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

---
Husfarm: https://husfarm.com/ · Site guide for agents: https://husfarm.com/llms.txt